Thursday, April 3, 2008

Peak Obama

The Times falls even further from the mark this evening with this article by Adam Nagourney. I've been growing progressively more irritated by some of his arguments since this one on "three breaks" Hillary Clinton needed to win the nomination, ignoring that each of the three were integrally intertwined, but this piece might be a new low.

Titled "Obama's Support Softens in Poll, Suggesting Peak has Passed," Nagourney argues rather straightforwardly that, because Obama's favorables among Democratic Primary Voters have dropped from seven points, to the only rock-star level of 62% among Democratic primary voters, it's the beginning of the end. Never mind that Obama was actually behind Clinton in the head-to-head nomination polls a few weeks ago, and that he was "weaker" in September with a favorable rating of only 52% (DPV), albeit with more respondents yet to pick a side. Also ignore that his favorability ratings among all respondents remain virtually unchanged from the two prior polls. This isn't to say that he will be stretching to new heights in the popularity contest, but he is at the very least soundly beating Hillary Clinton. If this is the beginning of the end for Obama, I shudder to think of what it is for her.



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